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【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Forecast: Continues to Stabilize
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--Gold Forecast: Continues to Stabilize". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Gold is stabilizing after Tuesday’s sharp sell-off, trading between $4,000 and $4,200. A break below $4,000 could trigger a decline toward $3,800, while sustained consolidation may support a gradual recovery in the uptrend.
- Gold initially plunged during the trading session on Friday but then turned around to show signs of life.
- All things being equal, this is a market that I think is continuing to try to sort out whether or not we’re still in an uptrend.
- After having that massive sell-off on Tuesday, we’ve really seen stable prices, and that’s a good sign. Stability is the first step to recovery.
If we break down below the $4,000 level, then the market really falls apart and could end up dropping perhaps to the 50-day EMA, maybe even the $3,800 level. The market had been in a pretty significant ascending triangle, which measured for a move to $3,800, so I think that is an area of extreme interest.
The $4200 Level Matters

That being said, we are trying to turn things around during the session, and that is a good sign. The $4,200 level should end up being a barrier, so keep that in mind—we need to get above there. Ultimately, I think you have a scenario where traders will continue to be more “buy the dip” going forward. But again, if we lose $4,000, gold really starts to suffer.
The market had gotten so parabolic and out of control—not only gold but also silver, which surged aggressively to the upside—so you know you have a bit of a bubble. The question is, where do we go from here? I think we’re in a $200 range, and the longer we stay between $4,000 at the bottom and $4,200 on the top, the better it is for the market. It allows traders to take a breath, makes things less volatile, and lets those in the know start to push the market higher. If we give up $4,000, I think you’re going to see a controlled descent in this market.
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